Courting Cataclysm

A few weeks ago, I wrote about the Vermont legislature’s struggle with finding a path toward universal health care in this year’s session. In other states, the lawmakers must have more time on their hands than they do here in the Green Mountain State. In Wisconsin’s legislative session, an effort to allow citizens to kill feral cats was defeated while in Florida an effort to allow citizens to kill each other was passed into law.

Wisconsin’s Proposition 62 called for the issuance of small-game licenses to people who want to take aim at the state’s estimated population of 1.4 million feral cats, which are alleged to kill 7.8 million songbirds each year, for an average of one songbird per feral cat, every nine and a half weeks. If the Wisconsin wannabe cat killers would have us believe their feline bloodlust is motivated by deep affection for our warbling friends, they need better talking points.
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Three Days in May

George Bush says his worries about what might happen in 2041 have caused him to propose a radical overhaul of Social Security. George Bush would do better to worry about what is likely to happen by the end of his term, a likelihood brought on by his own reckless arrogance. Here are items from two newspapers, the New York Times and the Washington Post, from three days, Monday through Wednesday of this week:

Monday, New York Times: Columnist Bob Herbert quotes former soldier Aidan Delgado as saying troops in Iraq would keep glass bottles in their Humvees to shatter over the heads of Iraqi passersby, because the troops “hate being here.”

Monday, Times: Thirty-five Iraqis dead in attacks in Mosul and Baghdad.

Tuesday, Times: General Richard Meyers, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff tells Congress that operations in Iraq and Afghanistan severely limit the military’s ability to deal with other armed conflicts and that if the U.S. has to engage in military operations elsewhere, they will likely be protracted and result in high casualties.
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A Million Dollars a Day

The national news media has not paid attention to it, but the Vermont Legislature has spent the winter and spring debating the merits of universal health care.

It’s a debate worth having. Vermonters spend $3.5 billion on health care each year, about $5,700 for every man, woman and child, sick or healthy. Those costs are rising at the rate of $350 million per year – almost a million dollars a day for the state as a whole or $550 per person, per year. Our Medicaid deficit for next year is projected to be $80 million. The worst part about this is that one-quarter to one-third of this money is spent on administration – red tape that makes no one healthier.

Someone has to pay for that. Employers find their overhead costs rising, employees have less take-home pay as they are asked (or forced) to pay for a share (or larger share) of their health care costs, taxes go up to pay for school and municipal employees’ rising premiums and the cost of every Vermont-made product – from ice cream to computer chips to ski lift passes – goes up.
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Plausible Ignorance

Politics makes strange bedfellows of us all, which is why I commend UN Ambassador-Designate John Bolton for his recent service to our nation. This commendation is, of course, indirect and is merited only because Mr. Bolton’s confirmation hearings shed such light on a particular mode of operation within the Bush administration.

Mr. Bolton’s nomination is on hold for now as the Senate Foreign Relations Committee more thoroughly investigates allegations about Mr. Bolton’s behavior, from chasing rivals through the corridors of Moscow hotels to retaliation against subordinates whose interpretations of intelligence differed from Mr. Bolton’s.

Abusing subordinates is an ugly, if not uncommon, practice and one unworthy of high-ranking government officials, especially those whose positions call for tact and diplomacy. Still, many Americans are puzzled as to why John Bolton is such a bully. So some mid-level bureaucrats’ professional opinions diverged from Mr. Bolton’s, so some career employees at the State Department or CIA delivered news Mr. Bolton didn’t want to hear. So what? Is his skin so thin that Mr. Bolton cannot bear to hear contradicting facts or opinions? Does he have such time on his hands that he can chase about the greater DC area ruining the careers of those who displease him?
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Black Flag

April is usually an unpleasant month in Vermont – cold, gray, muddy. This year (so far) it has been anomalously warm, sunny and dry. I took advantage of the weather to bicycle along the lakeshore Sunday afternoon, slowly picking my way along the crowded recreation path. Frisbees and soccer balls flew through the air; children and dogs scurried away from those attempting to control them. From a radio, Elton John sang, “… you can’t plant me in your penthouse, I’m going back to my plow…”

I passed the Coast Guard station and noticed the black POW-MIA flag snapping in the wind among the various jacks and ensigns. This is the 30th April since the fall of Saigon. The black flag flies at the Coast Guard station, the post office, the police and fire departments and the VFW and American Legion posts here in Burlington. It flies from thousands of flagpoles across the country. When will we decide to stop flying POW-MIA flags? What will it mean when we do?
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Abolitionists

Around the time the pope died Saturday, I was sorting through various letters of charitable solicitation. A word in the epistle from Citizens United Against the Death Penalty stopped my eye: abolition.

Anti-death penalty advocates are, by definition, abolitionists – they’re trying to abolish the death penalty. The word “abolitionist” in America, however, connotes pre-Civil War anti-slavery activists. For a moment, I tried to imagine the loneliness of an abolitionist in 1850 or 1855. In those days, cotton was the number one American export. The value of exported cotton exceeded the value of all other American exports combined. All that money went into the hands of a relatively small group of men, who also wielded an inversely disproportionate amount of political power. Abolitionists, on the other hand, were a marginal group of freed slaves, mild-mannered do-gooders like Quakers and a few violent militia types like John Brown.

So it is with today’s abolitionists, small groups of advocates who sit vigil outside the nation’s prison death houses or lobby legislatures to overturn death penalties. While there is some overlap among those who oppose the death penalty and those who oppose abortion, death penalty opponents have never been able to rally tens of thousands of supporters to the Mall in Washington, as those who oppose abortion do on a regular basis.
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Have a Banana

There’s an old joke about a mountain guide who tells his climbing party: “Watch your step on this ledge, if you slip you’ll fall 400 feet. If you do slip, however, look to your right, you’ll never see a view like that again in your life.”

We are all of us stepping along a ledge just below the summit of Hubbert’s Peak and regardless of how we step, there is no easy way down. Hubbert’s Peak is named for M. King Hubbert, a petro-geologist who showed that production from any given oil well can be plotted on a parabolic curve. The peak of the curve – the halfway point – is reached simultaneously with maximum production. Expanding his equation, Mr. Hubbert predicted in 1956 that U.S. oil reserves would reach maximum production – and be halfway to depletion – in the early 1970s. Many in the oil business laughed, but Mr. Hubbert was right and U.S. production peaked between 1970 and 1972.
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