Conventional wisdom holds that today’s Republican primary in Florida will narrow the race to two candidates – John McCain and Mitt Romney. Further wisdom from the convention holds that next Tuesday’s multiple primaries will determine which of the two men will receive the nomination. I won’t disagree with that wisdom, whether or not it proves […]
No excuses. I purposely made my New Hampshire prediction on Saturday, because I didn’t want to be influenced by the weekend polls. My ulterior motive was that if I called it correctly from three days out, I’d look really smart. I don’t look smart this morning, but if I’d had access to those weekend polls, […]
New Hampshire is harder to predict than Iowa. Rather than bringing clarity to the race, Thursday night’s upsets make New Hampshire more complicated. The wild cards in the Granite State are the independents, who can vote in either primary (but not both). Conventional political wisdom says they will throw their support to John McCain and […]
Tuesday I predicted Hillary Clinton would leave Iowa weaker than she went in, that Barack Obama or John Edwards (but not both) would finish ahead of Ms. Clinton in the caucuses. I predicted the Republican finish would be Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, John McCain. I was not so wrong that I mind taking a lump […]
By floegel
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Posted in Asides, Electoral Politics
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Also tagged Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Chris Dodd, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani
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This ain’t kid stuff. If I’m going to put one of these things up on the web, I should have the courage to make some predictions. If I’m wrong, I’ll take my lumps; if I’m right, I’ll try not to gloat. On the Democratic side, my prediction is: Hillary Clinton comes out of Iowa weaker […]
By floegel
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Posted in Asides, Electoral Politics
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Also tagged Barack Obama, Bill Richardson, Chris Dodd, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Edwards, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Ron Paul, Rudy Giuliani
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Turns out, Mitt Romney may have a religion problem in his presidential quest after all. Talking Points Memo this morning reports that at least three Republicans and two publications are quoting Mr. Romney as saying he would not consider appointing a Muslim to his cabinet, if elected president. Two of the Republicans paraphrased Mr. Romney’s […]
One Nation, Under Water
Did you heave a sigh of relief on January 20th? Did you think, “Finally, we’ve got less than a year before we get these criminals out of the White House”? Don’t celebrate yet. The Bush/Cheney appetite for crime will likely increase, if anything, in the months ahead. This morning’s Washington Post gives good examples. Attorney […]